This election is a fucking game changer. Two-party system is gone, solid left wing showing, absolutely NO IDEA who will make up the government. Interesting times.
I’m betting on Fianna Fáil backing down and going in with Sinn Fein and the Greens. Varadkar will probably get the leadership chop from Fine Gael in a couple of months. Sinn Fein are talking about a grand coalition of the left, but they definitely don’t have the numbers now. FF and FG coalition won’t happen now because of Sinn Féin’s success and the fact that it will basically set them up for electoral domination in the next one.
Also, I’m cackling at the narratives about this being a unity thing with NI. Erm, no. People were basically sick of the housing crisis and ineffectual healthcare and decided the place needed a change. It’s probably gonna have a knock-on effect though.